IBM exec predicts the future of Linux, open source
http://www.infoworld.com/article/08/08/07/IBM_exec_predicts_the_future_of_Linux_open_source-Network_World_1.html
Bob Sutor, IBM's vice president of open source and standards made 8 predications at the Black Hat conference. Most notable is that green computing will be top of the list and Linux is in perfect position to exploit this. He also stated that he sees no open source replacement for Linux.
He also noted that "The idea of Linux on the desktop will be significantly different. The very definition of desktop will change, and become more focused on clients that sit anywhere from a cubicle to the bottom of a pants pocket. Client focus will be on collaboration via open standards, cloud computing, enterprise appliances, Web 2.0 and rich-client platforms."
IBM is firmly behind Linux, as is Red Hat software and Novell. Linux runs on a lot of Enterprise servers, including Google.
The consumer desktop market, however, Linux does not fare as well. Some experts say just leave that space to Microsoft. One market that is huge for Linux is embedded systems. This market has grown quite a bit.
Again, we have the major threat of Microsoft. Most companies prefer to go with Microsoft for their Enterprise server operating systems. They know they can trust Microsoft, and also the learning curve is not as steep.
I personally see Linux continuing to dip into the market share of Microsoft, but I don't see it overtaking Microsoft.
References:
Commentary: the Linux Foundation and the future of Linux
http://www.linux.com/feature/132203
The Future of Linux
http://www.gregroelofs.com/reports/linux-19980714-top.html
The Rasterman: The future of Linux is embedded [Linux and Main]
http://www.linuxdevices.com/news/NS7673542406.html
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